Mufi Hannemann, the Democratic candidate for Congress from Hawaii’s 2nd District, is maintaining a solid lead over his opponents, according to a poll released today by his campaign.
The poll, conducted by the highly respected QMark Research, was taken statewide June 14-16. The sample size was 407 interviews, with a +4.90 percent margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level.
The poll shows Hannemann leading his closest opponent by a 16- to 18-point margin with eight weeks to go before the Primary Election on August 11.
The poll showed that among core Democratic primary election voters, Hannemann outpolled Tulsi Gabbard by 18 points, 45 to 27 percent. Among these Democratic voters, Hannemann leads among males, 43 to 27 percent, among females 48 to 26 percent, among Oahu voters 48 to 34 percent, and among Neighbor Island voters 44 to 21 percent.
In a Democratic primary that includes those who say they will select a Democratic ballot, plus those who don’t know which ballot they will select, the margin is 42 to 26 percent, a 16-point lead. Among these voters, Hannemann leads among males, 38 to 31 percent, among females 46 to 22 percent, among Oahu voters 45 to 33 percent, and among Neighbor Islands voters 40 to 20 percent.
In the favorable-unfavorable scorecard, Hannemann had a 51 percent favorable to a 29 percent unfavorable, with 18 percent having no opinion. Gabbard had 42 percent favorable to 10 percent unfavorable, with 32 percent indicating no opinion.
Half the interviews were conducted on land lines and the other half on mobile phones. In addition, the interviews were conducted on weekday and weekends.
Attached are details of the survey for the Congressional candidates and the questionnaire (see appendix).